Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 343.756999 392.186499 446.825163 513.397131 592.804467 685.093900 801.357279
2024-12-22 267.931290 328.600498 403.647890 504.684875 639.298623 815.612488 1069.378276
2024-12-29 230.146411 295.607670 381.571233 505.324425 683.379664 937.623138 1342.333640
2025-01-05 200.028324 265.979220 356.603005 494.029879 704.242696 1026.423448 1585.119375
2025-01-12 179.816727 246.246016 341.147054 491.753636 735.070942 1132.959078 1881.089185
2025-01-19 158.050574 221.295284 314.356433 467.316286 725.279701 1169.643191 2062.870484
2025-01-26 151.154044 217.147436 317.658612 489.869272 795.716967 1357.383849 2586.017371
2025-02-02 146.690796 215.976675 325.066691 519.731930 883.767224 1597.447082 3304.299966
2025-02-09 137.277488 205.941009 316.845501 521.116352 919.051599 1741.569154 3860.778802
2025-02-16 126.504155 192.648105 301.700444 507.804261 923.078992 1820.417741 4285.587293
2025-02-23 117.561817 181.566077 289.152447 497.531015 931.237037 1909.997548 4777.272626
2025-03-02 113.177825 177.722237 288.736757 510.167458 989.566780 2131.105289 5759.540886
2025-03-09 107.166635 170.785699 282.477548 511.251766 1024.751233 2310.280233 6729.700966
2025-03-16 100.128155 161.521136 271.150971 500.735156 1032.014793 2420.558503 7536.504554
2025-03-23 95.257874 155.697102 265.631538 501.509583 1066.111410 2615.027458 8798.225313
2025-03-30 89.414373 147.662120 255.161801 490.310491 1068.665116 2719.381326 9767.615237
2025-04-06 85.126439 142.164009 249.110236 488.056380 1093.722668 2901.175397 11243.023557
2025-04-13 78.821905 132.495286 234.067512 463.846448 1056.758407 2874.085585 11671.739177
2025-04-20 77.875060 132.836231 239.038519 486.189601 1150.641326 3318.563840 15092.377493
2025-04-27 77.588024 134.397637 246.615205 515.770753 1272.270429 3917.651375 20335.617751
2025-05-04 74.692156 130.665532 242.812921 517.142026 1311.135451 4220.358813 24049.722244
2025-05-11 70.750078 124.619589 233.623047 503.956012 1302.757793 4329.153487 26433.820378
2025-05-18 67.340591 119.441694 225.932412 493.779511 1302.322552 4474.480941 29425.084372